News & Opinion
Corn – wet ears
Corn – wet ears

The December US Corn futures contract rose to $370 yesterday from around $343 on September 18th, signalling what may be the beginning of a bullish trend in corn futures prices. Amid still strong production forecasts various factors are converging to push prices higher.

Emerging Markets – the bottom isn’t in
Emerging Markets – the bottom isn’t in

Emerging markets have significantly underperformed developed markets this year, but just because EM is cheap on a relative basis doesn’t mean now is the time to buy. So far this year Turkish equities are down 50%, Argentinian equities are down 50% and Chinese equities are down 20%. It is important to examine the causes of EM weakness to determine whether or not current conditions are likely to persist. The two most apparent reasons for EM weakness are dollar strength (albeit modest so far) and China slowing.

Coffee – darkest before the dawn
Coffee – darkest before the dawn

Just a few weeks ago the price of Arabica Coffee Futures plunged to a 12-year low, the bear market in coffee has been relentless, and it is decision time for producers. Many producers have been selling at a loss due to persistently low prices, some farmers have even stopped planting coffee beans altogether and switched to coca. Recently, the World Coffee Producers Forum met in Mexico City to address what many members consider to be a crisis in the coffee market.

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Unless otherwise stated all material published on this News & Opinion page should be construed as market commentary, observing market, economic and/or political conditions and not intended to refer to or promote any specific trading strategy. Information contained was obtained from reliable sources but Valbury Capital Ltd. does not guarantee its accuracy. Valbury Capital Ltd. is not responsible for any trading decisions taken by you or any other persons viewing this material. All trading involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits.

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