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Asian view

Just to make sure we don’t lose sight of the problems in the US, I decided to discuss the troublesome American labor market in this issue. But before that, some thoughts about the unfolding debt crisis in Europe which will, unfortunately, not end in the near future.

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Stocks slid and the euro fell against the US dollar, while Spain’s bond yields rose as investors worried about details of a $125 billion deal to shore up Spanish banks.

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The big news over the weekend was of course that Spain has finally agreed to an “unconditional” bank bailout. But please, let us not have a DELUSIVE HOPE – like most honourable Members of the European Parliament nowadays – that everything will be fine, and we can safely invest in risk assets again.

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08 Jun
2012

Germany In...or Germany Out?

Categories: Asian View

The benchmark one-year lending rate will drop to 6.31 percent from 6.56 percent effective today, the People’s Bank of China said on its website yesterday. The one-year deposit rate will fall to 3.25 percent from 3.5 percent. Banks can also offer a 20 percent discount to the benchmark lending rate, the PBOC said, widening from a previous 10 percent.

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06 Jun
2012

When Should We Buy Stocks?

Categories: Asian View

The Dow is still above 12,000; stocks may not be at their peak, but they are far from their bottom. You’ll know it when you get to a real bottom. Investors are so glum you have to hide their guns. That’s when you get P/E ratios of 5 and dividend yields of 5%. That’s when you get bargains. Someday, unless this really is a new era, they will be real bargains. This day they are not.

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Bloody global markets we’ve seen on May, most of them got a largest hit for several months as a spate of slowing global economic growth added to worries about the euro zone crisis, all cutting exposure to risky assets.

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28 May
2012

Do NOT be COMPLACENT!

Categories: Asian View

The Godfather of newsletter writers, Richard Russell, warned his readers in the Dow Theory Letters that “something BIG is heading our way,” and wondered “how much longer the decline will continue to be orderly.”

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The rebound didn’t last long in the Asian markets. All main stock indices were down again this morning (23rd May 2012), after US stocks closed mostly flat yesterday (22nd May 2012).

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Yesterday (May 21st 2012) there was some heavy selling in the Indonesian stock market. Foreign investors were net sellers of IDR1.412 trillion (or approximately US$150 million) worth of shares.

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